How much warmer will Jan-Dec 2008 be than the GISS Land-Ocean mean of 14C (57.2F)?

Available to trade:

POSSIBLE ANSWERS	CHANCE	TODAY
0.41-0.50C more info	18.8%/ 100.0%	(closed)
0.51-0.55C more info	21.1%/ 0.0%	(closed)
0.56-0.60C more info	26.4%/ 0.0%	(closed)
0.61-0.70C more info	7.2%/ 0.0%	(closed)
-0.41 more info	25.1%/ 0.0%	(closed)
0.70C- more info	1.4%/ 0.0%	(closed)

Question closing

December 31, 2008 @ 11:59pm PST

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contracts exchange GISS Global market nasa prediction temperature Warming

discussion

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paul0martin • Thu Dec 04 2008 at 12:22pm PST

just joined. Seems there is a typo in your chart of historical prices as “<.51 18.96” appears and the category that is lowest is actually “<.41” which has the price of 18.96 in other parts of the site…

And has there really been no action sinnce july or did your data for web site get clobbered?

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Background information

This exchange lists contracts on 2008’s global land and ocean surface temperatures as reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. Contracts are listed as temperature ranges above the 1951-80 mean of 14 Celsius.

More information about the possible answers

0.41-0.50C

Between 0.41-0.50 Celsius degress warmer

0.51-0.55C

Between 0.51-0.55 Celsius degress warmer

0.56-0.60C

Between 0.56-0.60 Celsius degress warmer

0.61-0.70C

Between 0.61-0.70 Celsius degress warmer

-0.41

Less than 0.41 Celsius degress warmer

0.70C-

Greater than 0.70 Celsius degress warmer